From Gaza to Greenland, the disruptive force of President-elect Donald Trump is being felt across the world, his incoming administration casting aside conventional diplomatic niceties in favor of an intensive global pressure campaign that already appears to be yielding results. <\/p>\n
In the Middle East, Trump quickly took credit for the Israel-Hamas hostage deal resulting from months of painstaking negotiations involving Biden and Trump administration officials working alongside US allies. <\/p>\n
\u201cThis EPIC ceasefire agreement could only have happened as a result of our Historic Victory in November,\u201d Trump posted on his Truth Social platform. <\/p>\n
\u201cWe have achieved so much without even being in the White House. Just imagine all of the wonderful things that will happen when I return,\u201d he added. <\/p>\n
It is hard to deny that Trump\u2019s implicit threat that there would be \u201chell to pay\u201d if there was no Israel-Hamas deal before his inauguration on January 20 appears to have focused minds, not least among those in the Israeli government keen to lock-in Trump\u2019s enthusiastic backing as he is poised to start a second US presidential term. <\/p>\n
Friend and foe alike appear to be approaching the mercurial, unpredictable Trump \u2013 bolstered by his resounding US presidential election victory in November \u2013 with trepidation, franticly working to appease the president-elect amid concern his praise and favor could rapidly turn to fury. <\/p>\n
One Israeli diplomat told me it was in his countries\u2019 national interest to \u201ckeep Trump happy\u201d amid concerns his \u201cunflinching support for Israel were to suddenly flinch.\u201d <\/p>\n
That certainly doesn\u2019t sound like the traditional basis of a stable international relationship, but in the short term Trump\u2019s Might is Right, America First rhetoric is already proving remarkably effective, not just in Israel but across the gamut of global affairs. <\/p>\n
Take Trump\u2019s recently revived offer to buy Greenland, the vast frozen territory owned by Denmark and sitting strategically between the US and Russia on giant mineral deposits. \ufeffThe same suggestion, made by Trump in his first term, was scoffed at. <\/p>\n
This time, Trump\u2019s offer was accompanied by a chilling threat of US military force, or at least a refusal by the next US commander-in-chief to rule it out. The Danish and Greenlandic answer, for the moment, is still that Greenland is not for sale. But the possibility, however remote, has been scrutinized far more anxiously this time. Trump is, whatever else, being taken seriously. <\/p>\n
Elsewhere, some nations are taking pre-emptive steps to appease the concerns of the incoming Trump administration or to avoid direct negotiations over sensitive issues. <\/p>\n
In South Korea, for example, a five-year deal was agreed ahead of the November US election to share the cost of keeping more than 28,000 US troops in the country. The negotiations concluded early amid memories in Seoul that Trump, during his first presidency, had accused South Korea, a key Asian ally, of \u201cfree-riding\u201d on US military might, and demanded that it pay as much as $5 billion a year for the deployment. <\/p>\n
But it is Russia\u2019s brutal war in Ukraine where the Trump factor could next produce extraordinary results. The president-elect once suggested he would end the conflict in a single day, but is now pushing more serious proposals to force an end to the violence, if not the Russian occupation. <\/p>\n
Both Vladimir Putin, the Kremlin strongman, and the beleaguered Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, have cautiously welcomed Trump\u2019s blustering intervention. To not do so may trigger the Trump factor\u2019s unpredictable wrath. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
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