{"id":3355,"date":"2025-02-04T12:23:43","date_gmt":"2025-02-04T12:23:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/04\/volatility-vix-may-be-providing-clues-of-a-big-market-drop\/"},"modified":"2025-02-04T12:23:43","modified_gmt":"2025-02-04T12:23:43","slug":"volatility-vix-may-be-providing-clues-of-a-big-market-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/04\/volatility-vix-may-be-providing-clues-of-a-big-market-drop\/","title":{"rendered":"Volatility ($VIX) May Be Providing Clues of a Big Market Drop"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Secondary market signals are beginning to line up for a further drop, which can sometimes provide false signals.  The primary indicator for me is always the combination of price\/volume.  When I only look at price\/volume on the S&amp;P 500, it still remains easy to be long &#8211; on all time frames:<\/p>\n<p><strong>S&amp;P 500 &#8211; daily:<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>S&amp;P 500 &#8211; weekly:<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>S&amp;P 500 &#8211; monthly:<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s REALLY hard to argue with uptrends and I&#8217;m not arguing with whether we&#8217;re in an uptrend.  But I am beginning to see many secondary signals issuing warning signs that <strong><em>the risk of remaining long<\/em><\/strong> no longer makes sense.  That&#8217;s about where I think we are now.  I can&#8217;t guarantee lower prices ahead, but I CAN see warning signs.  The VIX is one of those.  As the S&amp;P 500 rises, the VIX drops.  That&#8217;s the historical relationship.  To me, it&#8217;s a warning when the S&amp;P 500 climbs and the VIX does too.  That tells us that market nervousness is growing and the S&amp;P 500 will unlikely handle bad news well.  Here&#8217;s a chart that shows the building fear and nervousness, despite the recent all-time high price:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t like to see fear escalating, like what&#8217;s in the bottom panel, when we&#8217;re trying to make another all-time high breakout.  We should instead be seeing the VIX moving towards the recent low at 13.  But here we are with a VIX at 18.22.  I&#8217;ve previously posted on this blog that the absolute worst market days occur when the VIX is above 20.  That&#8217;s where we can see severe impulsive selling kick in.  We&#8217;re teetering here folks and everyone should be on high alert for a possible market meltdown.<\/p>\n<h2>YouTube FREE Live Streaming Event Today<\/h2>\n<p>If you want to check out MANY secondary warning signals that I&#8217;m seeing in the market right now and why you should be preparing to &#8220;batten down the hatches&#8221;, join me on our EarningsBeats.com YouTube channel <strong>for FREE<\/strong>.  <a href=\"https:\/\/youtube.com\/live\/axOGOHPHADE\" target=\"_blank\">JOIN ME HERE<\/a> and we&#8217;ll get things started at 5:30pm ET today.  Should you be worried about a BIG selloff?  Well, I&#8217;m nearly always bullish and I&#8217;ve moved to 100% cash, if that tells you anything.  Watch these warning signs and then decide for yourself.<\/p>\n<p>I hope you&#8217;re able to join, it might just save you a bundle!<\/p>\n<p>Happy trading!<\/p>\n<p>Tom<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Secondary market signals are beginning to line up for a further drop, which can sometimes provide false signals. The primary indicator for me is always the combination of price\/volume. When I only look at price\/volume&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3356,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[117],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3355","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stocks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3355","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3355"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3355\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3356"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3355"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3355"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invest360pro.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3355"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}